COVID-19 modelling update: Considerations for a potential fourth wave

By South African COVID-19 Modelling Consortium  Dr Gesine Meyer-Rath  Dr. Lise Jamieson  Dr. Jacqui Miot  Dr. Brooke Nichols  Dr. Brooke Nichols  |  | 

The South African COVID-19 Modelling Consortium (SACMC), of which a number of HE2ROs are members, has released a new report about the core modelling team’s projections of a potential fourth wave of COVID-19 cases in South Africa. This report takes into account the impact of the vaccination programme, future changes on population behaviour and restriction levels, as well as a potential new variant of concern with immune escape properties. The report is available below. Additionally, the day-to-day development in case numbers, hospital admissions and deaths can be tracked on

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