Cost and Budget Modelling

Many of HE²RO’s projects generate high-quality evidence on the impact and cost of health interventions in the areas of HIV, TB and sexual and reproductive health. Because we focus on new interventions and models of care, often this data is the only available, or the only at such level of detail. Whenever we can, we maximize the usefulness of our study results by translating them into national-level projections of the cost and impact of rolling out these interventions further.

Working directly with policymakers at the national South African Department of Health, Treasury, and other national and international stakeholders, we use HE²RO’s  primary data to parameterize complex mathematical models that allow us to estimate the impact of sets of interventions at the national level in South Africa in the mid- to long-term. We are thus able to provide information that allows policymakers to make decisions about outcomes, costs, affordability and feasibility based on real programme data representing relevant settings and resources.

Beyond this, because all health policy in South Africa is budgeted for and implemented at the level of the nine provinces, we also work with provincial HIV and finance managers to improve financial planning and management of HIV and TB programmes at that level.